Southamptonvs
Stoke City
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southampton 3-1 Stoke City
Original prediction
Southampton
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Southampton
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Southampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SouthamptonLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stoke CityLWDWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SouthamptonStoke City
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.44xG1.23