Southamptonvs
Derby
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 11/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Southampton 2-0 Derby, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Southampton 2–0 Derby
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Southampton
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Southampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SouthamptonDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DerbyLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SouthamptonDerby
63.6Attack27.3
69.7Defence39.4
63.6Form18.2
65.7Power31.0
2.75xG0.41