Sokol Zápyvs
Čáslav
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sokol Zápy · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokol Zápy 2-3 Čáslav
Original prediction
Sokol Zápy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.4% | 59.2% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.89 | 15.2% | 21.9% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 9.53 | 9.4% | 18.9% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Sokol Zápy
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Sokol Zápy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20