Čáslavvs
Jablonec II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jablonec II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Čáslav 2-3 Jablonec II
Original prediction
Jablonec II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 27.9% | 13.6% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 17.1% | -7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.2% | 69.4% | 22.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Jablonec II
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Jablonec II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20