SL Benfica Wvs
Bayern Munich W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SL Benfica W 0-3 Bayern Munich W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.90 | 10.2% | 37.1% | 26.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.43 | 16.7% | 23.1% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 73.0% | 39.8% | -33.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40