Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chelsea WDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Roma WWLWWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chelsea WRoma W
100.0Attack79.2
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form45.8
89.7Power56.0
2.34xG1.92