Ska-khabarovskvs
Volga Ulyanovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ska-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
Original prediction
Volga Ulyanovsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.4% | 30.1% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.4% | 23.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.2% | 46.0% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Volga Ulyanovsk
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00