Ska-khabarovskvs
KAMAZ
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ska-khabarovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ska-khabarovsk 3-3 KAMAZ
Original prediction
Ska-khabarovsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.3% | 36.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.3% | 28.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.4% | 34.5% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Ska-khabarovsk
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Ska-khabarovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80