Ska-khabarovskvs
Dinamo Kirov
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ska-khabarovsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ska-khabarovsk 2-0 Dinamo Kirov
Original prediction
Ska-khabarovsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.6% | 41.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.8% | 31.2% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ska-khabarovsk
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Ska-khabarovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80