CSKA Moscowvs
Lokomotiv
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CSKA Moscow 0-0 Lokomotiv, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moscow 3-1 Lokomotiv
Original prediction
CSKA Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 49.6% | 41.0% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.4% | 29.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 25.0% | 29.4% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
CSKA Moscow 0–0 Lokomotiv
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moscow
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CSKA MoscowWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LokomotivLDDWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
41.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence75.0
33.3Form25.0
45.9Power42.1
1.12xG0.86