SK Poltavavs
Prykarpattia
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Poltava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SK Poltava 0-0 Prykarpattia, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Poltava 4-0 Prykarpattia
Original prediction
SK Poltava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 45.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 31.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 22.7% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
SK Poltava 0–0 Prykarpattia
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
SK Poltava
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
SK Poltava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SK PoltavaLWLWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PrykarpattiaLDLWL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SK PoltavaPrykarpattia
45.5Attack36.4
72.7Defence69.7
45.5Form45.5
54.5Power52.3
0.89xG0.54