Sionivs
Aragvi Dusheti
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sioni · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sioni 1-2 Aragvi Dusheti
Original prediction
Sioni
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 50.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 26.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.5% | 23.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Sioni
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Sioni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SioniLDDWW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiLLLDD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SioniAragvi Dusheti
43.6Attack35.9
59.0Defence53.8
42.3Form41.0
49.8Power46.4
1.30xG0.80