Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SamtrediaLWLWW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ShturmiWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SamtrediaShturmi
59.3Attack35.8
50.6Defence71.6
45.7Form53.1
51.5Power55.8
1.07xG0.98