Shturmivs
Kolkheti Poti
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shturmi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shturmi 0-0 Kolkheti Poti, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shturmi 2-0 Kolkheti Poti
Original prediction
Shturmi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 39.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 31.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.1% | 28.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Projected Score
Shturmi 0–0 Kolkheti Poti
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Shturmi
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Shturmi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ShturmiWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kolkheti PotiDWDWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
ShturmiKolkheti Poti
35.8Attack42.0
71.6Defence59.3
53.1Form34.6
55.8Power45.9
0.97xG0.63