Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Ural
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Ural
Original prediction
Ural
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 27.2% | 24.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.8% | 26.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 44.0% | 48.4% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Shinnik YaroslavlWDDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UralLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shinnik YaroslavlUral
51.9Attack59.3
59.3Defence85.2
51.9Form66.7
55.5Power69.8
0.83xG1.35