Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Tekstilshchik
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-0 Tekstilshchik, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 Tekstilshchik
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.7% | 56.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.3% | 26.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 17.0% | 17.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20