Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Ska-khabarovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-0 Ska-khabarovsk
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.0% | 64.9% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.7% | 20.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 22.3% | 14.9% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60