Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Rotor Volgograd
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-2 Rotor Volgograd
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 33.0% | 45.0% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.0% | 27.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 35.0% | 27.5% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20