Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
KAMAZ
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/18/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-1 KAMAZ
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.2% | 64.1% | 20.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.5% | 21.5% | -8.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.3% | 14.3% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40