Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Arsenal Tula
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-2 Arsenal Tula
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Shinnik YaroslavlLDWDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal TulaWLLWD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula
50.0Attack33.3
55.6Defence40.0
50.0Form46.7
53.0Power42.5
1.64xG0.92