Sheffield Utdvs
Wolves
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Utd 0-1 Wolves
Original prediction
Wolves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 27.5% | 35.2% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.7% | 26.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.8% | 38.4% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sheffield UtdWLWDW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
WolvesDLWWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sheffield UtdWolves
44.4Attack86.7
55.6Defence33.3
50.0Form53.3
53.0Power57.8
1.64xG1.57