Sheffield Utdvs
Norwich
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Utd 1-3 Norwich
Original prediction
Sheffield Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.4% | 44.5% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.5% | 26.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 36.0% | 28.7% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Utd
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Sheffield Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60