Sheffield Utdvs
Lincoln
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sheffield Utd 0-0 Lincoln, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Utd 3-0 Lincoln
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 43.4% | 37.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.5% | 31.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Sheffield Utd 0–0 Lincoln
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sheffield UtdLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LincolnLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheffield UtdLincoln
37.5Attack29.2
54.2Defence66.7
37.5Form45.8
46.0Power50.2
0.90xG0.84