Sevastopolvs
Rubin Yalta
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sevastopol 1-0 Rubin Yalta, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevastopol 3-1 Rubin Yalta
Original prediction
Sevastopol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.3% | 59.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 24.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 7.07 | 12.7% | 15.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Sevastopol 1–0 Rubin Yalta
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SevastopolWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rubin YaltaLWWWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SevastopolRubin Yalta
60.6Attack45.5
71.2Defence63.6
77.3Form51.5
71.6Power55.0
1.49xG0.68