Sevastopolvs
Lugansk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevastopol 2-0 Lugansk
Original prediction
Sevastopol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SevastopolWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganskWWDWL
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SevastopolLugansk
61.1Attack48.6
72.2Defence52.8
79.2Form41.7
72.8Power47.6
2.00xG0.68