Sevastopolvs
Kyzyltash
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevastopol 2-1 Kyzyltash
Original prediction
Sevastopol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.4% | 62.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 21.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 7.92 | 11.4% | 16.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20