Sertanensevs
Fátima
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fátima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sertanense 2-2 Fátima
Original prediction
Fátima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fátima
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Fátima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SertanenseDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FátimaWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SertanenseFátima
25.0Attack50.0
41.7Defence58.3
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power44.5
1.01xG1.36