Sertanensevs
Atlético Malveira
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sertanense · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sertanense 1-1 Atlético Malveira
Original prediction
Sertanense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Sertanense
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Sertanense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SertanenseLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético MalveiraWLLWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SertanenseAtlético Malveira
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power33.5
1.41xG1.16