Seattle Soundersvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake
Original prediction
Seattle Sounders
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.9% | 40.8% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 23.0% | 30.9% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Sounders
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00