Seattle Soundersvs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Sounders 1-1 CF Montreal
Original prediction
Seattle Sounders
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.3% | 65.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 19.2% | 19.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 6.46 | 14.5% | 15.2% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Sounders
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80