Scunthorpevs
Woking
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Woking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scunthorpe 2-3 Woking
Original prediction
Woking
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.5% | 34.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.2% | 22.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.4% | 43.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Woking
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Woking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ScunthorpeWDLLW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WokingLDLWL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ScunthorpeWoking
45.5Attack55.6
42.4Defence47.2
30.3Form41.7
40.4Power48.3
1.51xG1.80