England · National League · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altrincham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.8% | 36.8% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.2% | 26.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.0% | 36.4% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Altrincham
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Altrincham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AltrinchamWWDWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kidderminster HarriersLWDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AltrinchamKidderminster Harriers
47.2Attack41.7
50.0Defence66.7
58.3Form52.8
53.9Power54.9
1.02xG1.15