SC Genemuidenvs
FC Lisse
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Genemuiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Genemuiden 2-1 FC Lisse
Original prediction
SC Genemuiden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.1% | 38.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.6% | 33.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
SC Genemuiden
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
SC Genemuiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60