SC Genemuidenvs
Dordrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 10/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Genemuiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Genemuiden 3-2 Dordrecht
Original prediction
SC Genemuiden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.86 | 15.6% | 38.4% | 22.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.7% | 23.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 65.7% | 37.8% | -27.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 4.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
SC Genemuiden
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
SC Genemuiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00