SC Bragavs
Vitória SC
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/31/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Braga 1-0 Vitória SC
Original prediction
SC Braga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 53.4% | 43.5% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 20.4% | 28.9% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SC BragaDWDDW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vitória SCWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SC BragaVitória SC
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence55.6
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power43.7
1.51xG1.18