GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/31/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

SC Braga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guimaraes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Primeira Liga, favouring SC Braga with 10.1% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Braga

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

10.1%

SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vitória SCLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SC BragaVitória SC
69.6Attack0.0
51.0Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
62.9Power23.7
2.29xG1.07
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