SC Bragavs
Sporting CP
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 10/9/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Braga 1-3 Sporting CP
Original prediction
Sporting CP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.9% | 30.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 29.2% | 28.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.8% | 41.2% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80