SC Bragavs
GIL Vicente
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 10/19/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SC Braga 0-0 GIL Vicente, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Braga 1-2 GIL Vicente
Original prediction
SC Braga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 60.5% | 42.4% | -18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.9% | 29.9% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 6.03 | 15.6% | 27.7% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.1 pts
Projected Score
SC Braga 0–0 GIL Vicente
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SC BragaLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GIL VicenteWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC BragaGIL Vicente
38.1Attack28.6
61.9Defence76.2
52.4Form52.4
53.8Power54.7
0.86xG0.77