Sassuolo Wvs
Roma W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Women · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sassuolo W 1-3 Roma W
Original prediction
Roma W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.04 | 12.8% | 11.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.4% | 16.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 67.8% | 72.5% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sassuolo WLWWWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Roma WDDWWL
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sassuolo WRoma W
50.0Attack94.9
47.4Defence69.2
46.2Form89.7
49.2Power83.2
0.90xG2.60