Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 08:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Roma WWLWDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Napoli WLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Roma WNapoli W
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence16.7
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power21.5
2.21xG1.04