Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sassuolo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Torino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Torino hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Serie A, while Torino holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
16.2%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40