Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sassuolo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 01:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Sassuolo
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Sassuolo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SassuoloLDLWD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
GenoaLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SassuoloGenoa
57.1Attack23.8
33.3Defence38.1
38.1Form19.0
45.8Power30.6
2.09xG1.02