Sassuolo U20vs
Renate U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Primavera · 10/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sassuolo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sassuolo U20 1-1 Renate U19
Original prediction
Sassuolo U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 37.9% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 25.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.1% | 36.5% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sassuolo U20
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Sassuolo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80