Como U20vs
Pescara U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Primavera · 10/28/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Como U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Como U20 2-0 Pescara U19
Original prediction
Como U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.7% | 46.9% | -22.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.5% | 24.8% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 7.03 | 12.8% | 28.4% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Como U20
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Como U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60