Sasso Marconi Zolavs
Cittadella Vis Modena
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella Vis Modena · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sasso Marconi Zola 1-0 Cittadella Vis Modena
Original prediction
Cittadella Vis Modena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.0% | 35.3% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.2% | 29.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.8% | 35.5% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cittadella Vis Modena
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Cittadella Vis Modena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40