Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Modica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Modica 1-0 Licata
Original prediction
Modica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 14:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Modica
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Modica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ModicaLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LicataLWWWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ModicaLicata
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power80.3
1.48xG1.13