Sao Paulovs
RB Bragantino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sao Paulo 0-0 RB Bragantino, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Paulo 2-1 RB Bragantino
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.9% | 35.1% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 29.0% | 30.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 28.1% | 34.4% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Sao Paulo 0–0 RB Bragantino
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao PauloLWDDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoWDDLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sao PauloRB Bragantino
39.1Attack40.6
60.9Defence66.7
39.1Form50.7
48.2Power54.0
0.82xG0.89