Sao Paulovs
Internacional
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sao Paulo 0-0 Internacional, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Paulo 1-0 Internacional
Original prediction
Sao Paulo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.3% | 46.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.5% | 28.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 22.2% | 24.7% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Sao Paulo 0–0 Internacional
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sao Paulo
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao PauloDLLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalWLLLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sao PauloInternacional
39.7Attack37.0
61.5Defence56.8
42.3Form34.6
49.7Power44.8
1.12xG0.77