Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Paulo 1-1 Coritiba
Original prediction
Sao Paulo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Sao Paulo
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
14.6%
Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao PauloDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CoritibaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sao PauloCoritiba
41.3Attack40.9
60.3Defence56.1
41.3Form45.5
49.4Power49.4
1.16xG0.89