Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 01:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SantosWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GremioLDDDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SantosGremio
51.6Attack36.6
50.5Defence52.7
48.4Form33.3
52.2Power43.2
1.61xG0.96