Santa Claravs
SC Braga
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Clara 0-0 SC Braga
Original prediction
Santa Clara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.53 | 26.6% | 43.0% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 30.1% | 27.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.3% | 29.6% | -13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60